منابع مشابه
Advertising Effects in Presidential Elections
P elections provide both an important context in which to study advertising and a setting that mitigates the challenges of dynamics and endogeneity. We use the 2000 and 2004 general elections to analyze the effect of market-level advertising on county-level vote shares. The results indicate significant positive effects of advertising exposures. Both instrumental variables and fixed effects alte...
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Presidential candidates choose advertising strategically across markets based on each state’s potential to tip the election. The winner-take-all rules in the Electoral College concentrate advertising in battleground states, ignoring the majority of voters. We develop an empirical games approach to estimate an equilibrium model of competition between candidates and to compare outcomes under the ...
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The Portuguese presidential election of 2006 represented a major upset for the incumbent Socialist Party (PS). In the March 2005 legislative elections, the PS had obtained 46.4 percent of the valid votes allowing it to form, for the first time in the history of this center-left party, a single-party cabinet supported by an absolute majority in parliament. However, less than one year later, the ...
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This article aims to test a proposition widely spread among scholars and journalists according to which holidays would have an impact on electoral turnout. To our knowledge, this possibility has not been investigated in the French case yet. Our data, gathered for the last three presidential elections, strongly support a negative effect of holidays on turnout. Since turnout and left vote are lin...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: West European Politics
سال: 2013
ISSN: 0140-2382,1743-9655
DOI: 10.1080/01402382.2013.774533